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The Need to Define War

By Pratik Chougule, Mick Bransfield, and Solomon Sia In its proposed rule on events contracts, the CFTC issued a strong denunciation of war markets, but explicitly opted not to define

By Pratik Chougule, Mick Bransfield, and Solomon Sia The definition of gaming as it pertains to event contracts is ambiguous.  While we favor as a policy matter a relatively narrow

By Pratik Chougule, Mick Bransfield, and Solomon Sia Although we would favor a more laissez-faire approach to event contracts than what the CFTC has pursued, we believe that a lack

By Pratik Chougule, Mick Bransfield, and Solomon Sia The CFTC remains the federal agency best positioned to exercise jurisdiction over event contracts.  Since 1992, when CFTC-registered exchanges increased their listing

By Pratik Chougule Kalshi’s proposal to offer election contracts has not only been rejected by the CFTC, it has resulted in even stricter regulations against political betting. Kalshi’s decision to

By Pratik Chougule The CFTC’s second public comment period on Kalshi’s proposed election contracts received seven times the number of comments it got during its first comment period back in

By Pratik Chougule During the second CFTC comment period on Kalshi’s proposed election contracts, the Center for American Progress (CAP) submitted a letter in opposition to the proposal.  What’s significant

AFP News journalist Nick Roll interviewed Coalition for Political Forecasting executive director Pratik Chougule in his recent report on how Americans are betting on the 2024 U.S. elections. Below is

Long-time prediction market trader Chris Gillett interviewed Pratik Chougule about the Coalition for Political....

[T]he entire episode has given folks like Pratik Chougule, founder of the Coalition for Political Forecasting, the jitters. Chougule, host of the Star...

Prediction markets have often existed in a regulatory gray area. A newer market, Kalshi, has tried to cooperate with regulators to become a new...

Revelations that Richard Hanania, a prominent member of the political betting community, had written edgy commentaries under a pseudonym sparked a...

Pratik Chougule interviewed Richard Hanania, a plaintiff in PredictIt’s lawsuit against the CFTC, on a recent...

https://youtu.be/tFNw8J0Vy6E?si=ss2In0La3QcCRI7u

Coalition for Political Forecasting Executive Director Pratik Chougule cited the Coalition in his September 9, 2023….

Although data from PredictIt has furthered academic research on political prediction markets, the novel dilemmas associated with….

Regardless of how regulations evolve in the space, retail traders will have opportunities of….

Entrepreneurs are building political betting platforms that operate under different regulatory restrictions from real-money prediction….

It is little surprise that the CFTC withdrew PredictIt’s no-action letter in light of how cavalierly the company managed its….

Political betting lines are relatively unprofitable for both retail traders and companies in the….

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